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Avalanche Statistics:

'98/'99 Season Sets Fatality Record

The statistics are in for the '98/'99 season and they are pretty grim. Thirty-two avalanche fatalities were reported, the most in the modern era, going back to the turn of the century when avalanches would sweep down and bury entire mining camps. This information, for the year running from September 1, 1998 to August 31, 1999, shows that there is a lot of work to do educating the ever growing number of winter backcountry users. Newbies need to be trained, be vigilant and properly equipped, and veterans need to refresh themselves and be reminded of the danger in hubris.

The Snow

With the arrival of La Nina at the beginning of the season, following the big El Nino of the year before, it was said that for most of us, the season would be very different than the previous one, and this was generally true. The storm track stayed to the north as a succession of huge pacific storms buried the mountains of the northwest coast, from Alaska all the way down to Oregon. Everyone has heard about Mt. Baker breaking the U.S. record for most snow in a single season with the 1,140" recorded there. Numbers were up all over the northwest, Alyeska in Alaska: 764", more than one and a half times normal, Crystal Mountain, WA: 602" almost one and three quarters over normal and Mount Hood also received a pounding, with more than 500 inches, they were well over normal too.

In much of the rest of the U.S. skiers were hurting for snow, though there were some exceptions. The Sierras in California got blasted, often with both high winds and snow. Rain turned to ice in a parking lot at a lodge in Mammoth, and when the winds gusted to well over 125 mph, parked cars were literally moved around the lot like kid's toys. At one point, a single storm series in the Lake Tahoe area dumped 11 feet. Just a few driving hours to the south of Mammoth, Southern California remained virtually snow-less.

The Wasatch and the Rockies had a low snow year then rallied late, getting a good dump or two in late March/early April. In the east it was a fairly normal winter, with Mt. Washington reporting just a little more than their average snowfall. Overall, it was a relatively mild winter for much of the U.S. yet avalanche fatalities set a modern record. How did this happen?

Who, What ,Where and How

Skiers and mountain climbers are no longer the prime victims of the avy dragon. Snowmobilers accounted for close to half of the 32 fatalities reported for the period with 13. More snowboarders were killed than skiers and almost all of these incidents occurred in the backcountry or out of bounds from a ski area. There was one fatality reported in-bounds.

There were 11 fatalities reported in Alaska, 5 in Utah, 4 in Oregon, 3 in Colorado, 3 at Mt. Baker in Washington, 2 in Wyoming, and 2 in Montana. A sledder at Donner Pass was California's only avalanche fatality.

The use of snowmobiles in the backcountry has been increasing and with all the avalanche prone terrain they can cover in a single day, they put themselves at greater risk than other winter backcountry users. This may account, in large part, for the jump in avy fatalities.

Backcountry skiing and snowboarding is on the rise as well, and the need has never been greater for these users to receive avalanche safety education. Learning the basics of safe travel in avalanche country is a vital skill needed to reduce the risk associated with these winter sports.

An incident from the '98/'99 season illustrates the need to remain vigilant and to follow avy protocols carefully. A group of four college students had been working a slope near Gunnison, CO, using a snowmobile to access the goods. At first they were cautious, they were aware of forecasted deep-slab instability, but after skiing the slope a few times, they let their guard down. While using the machine to tow themselves up, it got stuck in a drift. Three stayed to dig out the 'bile while one, a skier, continued on up. The skier then skied down to his companions, still working to free the sled, before he got there, he triggered a slab just above them that buried the three totally. The skier was able to make it to the side and was only partially buried but was unable to extricate himself. Fortunately a pair of skiers happened to come along, one went for help while the other dug out the partially buried skier. These two then proceeded to dig out the other three victims. With three people close to each other around the snowmobile and the fourth above them triggering the slide in which he too was caught, there was no one left to aid the victims.

Statistics have repeatedly warned of the danger to experienced backcountry skiers of hubris, a kind of excessive self confidence that can lead to carelessness. Our human nature often leads us to believe that the more times we have gotten away with taking a chance, the less likely it is that something will go wrong. "I have done this lots of times, we will be fine" is how the thinking typically goes. Actually the opposite is true. This was a factor in the incident above and in the following story as well.

It had been snowing hard after a slow start in the Rockies. Two very experienced and knowledgeable ski partners talked on the phone in the evening. They were considering going backcountry the next morning, but informed that there was an avalanche warning in effect, the two decided to play it safe and hit the ski area instead.

The next day they found the lure of all that fresh just too tempting. Even though they did not have their beacons and shovels with them, they decided to roll the dice. One of the guys had already been out of bounds twice that morning on the route they were going to ski. He had noticed cracks in the snow and the tell-tale "whoomphs" made by collapsing slabs underneath his skis. Ignoring these signs he talked his partner into going with him for "one more run". On the way out from the area the two observed several cracks shooting out from their tracks, extending as far as 100 feet in each direction. They pushed on and the skier, who had spun the wheel of chance three times that day, triggered a very small slide and was buried. Without a shovel or beacons, it took the partner more than an hour to locate and dig our his dead friend.

What Can We Learn?

These kinds of stories (and unfortunately the statistics) go on and on. We can learn that avalanche safety knowledge is extremely important but just knowing this stuff is not enough. We must guard against the danger of hubris. Knowledge must, at all times, be accompanied by a solid base of caution. We all must strive to further develop our "avy eyes", to take off those "powder goggles" and to realistically assess the danger.

Modern gear and skills are making it easier for us to travel farther into the backcountry, and like the snowmobilers, the farther we go, the more exposure to avalanche danger we encounter.

Through training and self-discipline, backcountry skiing can be a much safer sport.

Where To Get Instruction

The Cyberspace Snow and Avalanche Center has an excellent list of U.S. seminars, clinics and courses. In Canada check out the Canadian Avalanche Association. There are courses available for novices on up through avalanche control professionals. The courses are actually fun to attend. A few years ago I took my son with me to a multi-day advanced clinic and not only was it a terrific learning experience, it was also a memorable father/son event.

If you have not taken an avalanche course, make this the year that you do. If you have and you are experienced, consider getting some higher level instruction. In the avy game, what you don't know CAN hurt!

Left: Neil with avy course instructor Mike Nolan, Right: In the blast pit after explosives instruction

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